Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Paul Tudor Jones: Market Wizard

Now, let's get one thing out on the table right away... Any dude who throws "Tudor" into his name, if he isn't an asshole, just sounds like one.

If you throw Tudor into your name and you play golf, YOU ARE AN ASSHOLE. It's a law stronger than Newton's Law of Gravity.

I dare any of you to prove me wrong on this. (Note: I don't know if PTJ plays golf, so he may not be an asshole at all.)

Okay, now let's get to the interview.

No... you know what? Forget it. I can't do it. And since my eyeballs have practically been bleeding all weekend due to some ancient virus that my daughter brought home from her filthy nursery school, I can't stand to sit and stare at the screens now and write much about this dude. It's a weakness, but I can't get over the name.

I'll leave you with what struck me the hardest...

PTJ traded through the 1987 crash and Schwager asks him if he believes the crash was "an early warning signal of more negative times ahead." Here is part of Tudor's response...

Everything gets destroyed a hundred times faster than it is built up. It takes one day to tear down something that might have taken ten years to build. If the economy starts to go with the kind of leverage that is in it, it will deteriorate so fast that people's heads will spin. I hate to believe it, but in my gut that is what I think is going to happen.

I know from studying history that credit eventually kills all great societies. We have essentially taken out our American Express card and said we are going to have a great time. Reagan made sure that the economy would be great during his term in office by borrowing our way into prosperity. We borrowed against the future, and soon we will have to pay.
So let me ask you... Has it taken 22 years for our chickens to come home to roost?

3 comments:

YoungChuck said...

Just wait till you get to the Jim Rogers part. It is interesting but a lot of the best traders talk of the coming destruction of markets,credit,the US or whatever but it does not happen and they still take advantage of bull moves. Maybe it is just a part of their psyche that keeps them on their toes and out of trouble.

Trader Dan said...

Really appreciate the humor in this post. I'd have to agree. I've also heard that this guy is worth more than $3 billion, is married to a super model, and probably owns 5 Porsches. You'd think his ego could handle being just called Paul Jones.

teamlram said...

I think its more about too much credit that kills societies. We've seriously been on a credit binge in terms of mortgages for the past couple of years. AMEX announced rising credit card delinquencies yesterday. Perhaps we've irreversibly overextended ourselves, but our appetite for credit will return because credit, if properly managed and used, sustainably raises our standards of living and promotes growth.